Mao Shang Wong
4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 74
Beverley · Season Finale Is Next Tuesday Selling Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
68%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Newcastle | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Ripon | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Beverley | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 21% | -0.55 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.47 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |