High Calibre

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 72

Beverley · Young Guns Nursery · 1m 100y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 3

Recent avg: C4.3

Today: 5

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-06	Newmarket	5	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-07-14	Wolverhampton	3	6th	4th	+2	6.4
2026-06-29	Ffos Las	4	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2026-05-29	Brighton	5	5th	5th	0	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +30.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/05/2026	5th	5/4	93%	0%	-0.93
29/06/2026	6th	18/1	5%	17%	+0.11
14/07/2026	6th	66/1	0%	55%	+0.55
06/08/2026	2nd	10/3	82%	75%	-0.07