Kigali
2yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 67
Beverley · Young Guns Nursery · 1m 100y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Sandown | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Salisbury | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 13/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |