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6

Northern Viola

2yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 54

Beverley · Young Guns Nursery · 1m 100y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Some promise upped to this trip when fourth of 9 in a nursery at Thirsk 11 days ago but may be better off in a lower grade than this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength62%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Wetherby 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS15/0633 @ Musselburgh 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f15y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS22/0634 @ Beverley 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0745 @ Thirsk 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 55 · 7f218y Goo 116 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 55 par5/095OR 55projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Thirsk54th4th0
2026-07-03Beverley47th6th+1
2026-06-22Musselburgh35th3rd+2
2026-06-15Wetherby35th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0622/063/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +16.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20265th28/10%33%+0.33
22/06/20265th9/276%0%-0.76
03/07/20267th50/10%0%0.00
05/09/20264th80/10%63%+0.63