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Prince Kameo

2yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 74

Beverley · Young Guns Nursery · 1m 100y

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

71%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive sort who has won his last 2 nurseries, scoring at Lingfield on all-weather then Thirsk 11 days ago, making all. May well be able to employ similar tactics here and the hat-trick looks well within his capabilities given the stable he hails from.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f1y Std 13330/0452 @ Yarmouth 20/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f3y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS20/0525 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f Sft 1339/0654 @ Doncaster 01/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 66 · 7f6y GF 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 66 par1/084OR 666 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 64 · 1m1y Std 134 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 64 par27/086OR 645 @ Thirsk 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 69 · 7f218y Goo 130 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 69 par5/095OR 69projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Thirsk51st1st0
2026-08-27Lingfield61st2nd−1
2026-08-01Doncaster45th4th+1
2026-06-09Salisbury510th10th0
2026-05-20Yarmouth28th4th+3
2026-04-30Lingfield54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0420/059/061/0827/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/20264th18/15%50%+0.45
20/05/20268th16/116%0%-0.16
09/06/202610th28/10%10%+0.10
01/08/20265th22/10%0%0.00
27/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
05/09/20261st8/158%100%+0.42