1
Delighfully Hot
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 72
Beverley · Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Chepstow | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Sandown | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Nottingham | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |