3

Duty's Call

2yo Filly · 9-2

Beverley · Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went off favourite but failed to beat a rival when last of 8 in maiden at Sandown (5f, good) on debut but quickly proved herself much better than that when second of 6 in novice at Chester (5f, good) 25 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 12824/0744 @ Chester 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f15y Goo 12822/084projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Chester42nd2nd0
2026-07-24Sandown48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +87.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20268th7/282%0%-0.82
22/08/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06