IvyArcIvyArc
4

Halliwell Stream

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 71

Beverley · Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

£140,000 purchase who showed promise when fourth of 10 in a novice race at Yarmouth in May and took a small step forward when filling the same position in a 10-runner maiden at Nottingham a fortnight later. Off for 105 days since but should still improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f42y Goo 12820/0544 @ Nottingham 03/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f8y Goo 1283/064projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-03Nottingham44th4th0
2026-05-20Yarmouth44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/053/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +57.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
03/06/20264th22/10%67%+0.67