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Hidden Gift

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 88

Beverley · Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

£150,000 breeze-up purchase who finished an encouraging second on debut at Ripon (5f) and proved much sharper (showed bags of zest) when posting a very solid fifth in the Albany at Royal Ascot (6f). Bit below that level at Glorious Goodwood last time but still sets a solid standard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f Gd 1283/0641 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 25 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/0612 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/072projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Goodwood26th4th+2
2026-06-19Royal Ascot15th1st+3
2026-06-03Ripon42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0619/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength95%

Delivery trend -9.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/06/20262nd5/287%83%-0.04
19/06/20265th25/10%83%+0.83
29/07/20266th15/261%38%-0.23