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5

Aughavannon

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Beverley · EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#10

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Inns of Court gelding who showed a bit at very long odds when eighth of 11 in a Carlisle novice (6f) on debut 3 weeks ago. Will need to step up plenty on that if he's to play a prominent role here, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength34%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Carlisle 27/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f182y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS27/083
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Carlisle38th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength15%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/20268th300/10%30%+0.30