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12

Floral Maid

2yo Filly · 8-13

Beverley · EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

56%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A real mix on breeding but looks to have inherited a fair chunk of her dam's stamina considering how well she saw things out when second in a heavy ground C&D maiden on debut 17 days ago, pulling a long way clear of the remainder. Sure to improve and big shout from good draw.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Beverley42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20262nd25/10%92%+0.92