13

Justice Time

2yo Filly · 8-13

Beverley · EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Inns Of Court filly. Found to be amiss on debut but showed more of what she's about without being unduly punished when posting a fair fifth of 7 in a Wolverhampton novice (5f) 9 days ago. That ought not to prove her limit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Carlisle 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS29/0524 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f21y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS7/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Wolverhampton45th4th+1
2026-05-29Carlisle27th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/057/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%

Delivery trend +49.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
07/09/20265th80/10%33%+0.33