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3

Mubehir

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 68

Beverley · EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Son of Sioux Nation who left his opening pair of exploits in his wake when second of 10 in a C&D novice 5 weeks ago, noted keeping on over 1f out. Gelded thereafter and he's got a handy berth to work from in stall 4.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 20/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f Goo 13020/0754 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS5/0845 @ Beverley 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f Goo 13312/085projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Beverley52nd2nd0
2026-08-05Pontefract47th6th+1
2026-07-20Beverley511th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/075/0812/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +44.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/202611th33/10%0%0.00
05/08/20267th150/10%14%+0.14
12/08/20262nd125/10%89%+0.89