8

Spectacular Diver

2yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 63

Beverley · EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Returned to something like his debut form when third in a C&D novice (5f) on first outing last month. However, merely added to a patchy record in 2 runs since, sixth of 8 in nursery at Catterick (6f) 8 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 5f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS29/0442 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0524 @ Ripon 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/0645 @ Beverley 12/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 65 · 5f Goo 130 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 65 par12/085OR 656 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 64 · 5f1y Goo 135 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 64 par25/086OR 646 @ Catterick 08/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 63 · 5f212y Goo 133 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 63 par8/096OR 63projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Catterick66th7th1
2026-08-25Musselburgh67th8th1
2026-08-12Beverley53rd3rd0
2026-06-03Ripon46th5th+1
2026-05-13York25th1st+3
2026-04-29Pontefract42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0413/053/0612/0825/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength44%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20262nd18/15%67%+0.61
13/05/20265th4/179%20%-0.59
03/06/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
12/08/20263rd14/126%78%+0.51
25/08/20267th9/276%0%-0.76
08/09/20266th25/10%29%+0.29