6
Call To Action
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 77
Beverley · We Are Christmas Party Central Handicap · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | York | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hamilton | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thirsk | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Pontefract | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-07-07 | Ripon | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 14/06/2025 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/06/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 07/07/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 06/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.08 |