10
Diamond Aura
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 45
Beverley · Hurn Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 100y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ripon | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Leicester | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Brighton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |