6
Elettaria
7yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 47
Beverley · Hurn Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 100y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Beverley | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength97%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |