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8

Golden Samba

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 45

Beverley · Hurn Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 100y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden after 10 starts and showed only poor form when fourth of 10 in classified stakes at Ripon 16 days ago on first outing since leaving Ed de Giles. Hard to think she'll be involved down at this trip for the first time (best effort when placed at 2m).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chepstow 30/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS30/0555 @ Ffos Las 29/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS6 @ Bath 03/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 45 · 1m6f Sft 121 · beat its mark03/09/2025 · OR 45 par3/096OR 456 @ Wolverhampton 06/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m5f219y Std 121 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Salisbury 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 45 · 1m6f44y GF 116 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 45 par3/056OR 456 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 45 · 2m68y Goo 120 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Pontefract 08/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 45 · 2m1f27y Goo 116 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 45 par8/066OR 456 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 45 · 1m7f218y Sta 122 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 44 · 1m1f170y Sft 135 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 44 par31/086OR 44projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Ripon64th4th0
2026-06-29Kempton66th6th0
2026-06-08Pontefract67th7th0
2026-05-18Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-05-03Salisbury64th4th0
2026-04-06Wolverhampton68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/056/048/0631/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/202510th300/10%18%+0.18
29/06/20256th250/10%0%0.00
03/09/20253rd50/10%71%+0.71
06/04/20268th28/10%22%+0.22
03/05/20264th9/153%25%-0.28
18/05/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41
08/06/20267th11/142%45%+0.03
29/06/20266th9/276%17%-0.60
31/08/20264th11/142%67%+0.25