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4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 53

Beverley · Hurn Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 100y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark in a classified stakes at Lingfield in July but slow-starting ways remain a concern. Only sixth of 13 back in a handicap at Southwell last month and needs things to drop right given her style.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Yarmouth 13/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 57 · 1m3y GS 130 · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 57 par13/106OR 576 @ Lingfield 04/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m1y Std 133 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 55 par6 @ Chelmsford City 26/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 54 · 7f Std 133 · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 54 par26/116OR 546 @ Nottingham 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 52 · 1m75y Goo 132 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Wolverhampton 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m142y Std 134 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 54 par11/056OR 546 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 53 · 1m1f207y Gd 133 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 52 · 1m31y GF 132 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 52 par29/066OR 526 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 50 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 53 · 1m13y Std 133 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 53 par16/086OR 53projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Southwell66th6th0
2026-07-13Lingfield61st1st0
2026-06-29Windsor67th7th0
2026-06-09Brighton610th10th0
2026-05-11Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-04-18Nottingham62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1018/0429/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/20258th7/163%46%-0.17
04/11/20258th4/179%36%-0.43
26/11/20258th12/137%22%-0.15
18/04/20262nd12/137%89%+0.52
11/05/20267th10/147%50%+0.03
09/06/202610th5/174%25%-0.49
29/06/20267th3/184%40%-0.44
13/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
16/08/20266th9/276%58%-0.18