9

Star Suepreme

3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 47

Beverley · Hurn Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 100y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Little promise to date and needs switch to a handicap, drop in trip and first-time cheekpieces to improve her markedly.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 06/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f14y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS6/0155 @ Southwell 20/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m13y Std 114 · HIGHER CLASS20/0154 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m2f GF 124 · HIGHER CLASS27/0746 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m4f Std 126 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 50 par18/086OR 50projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Lingfield69th9th0
2026-07-27Windsor45th3rd+2
2026-01-20Southwell511th10th+1
2026-01-06Southwell54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0120/0127/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/01/20264th50/10%50%+0.50
20/01/202611th200/10%0%0.00
27/07/20265th125/10%0%0.00
18/08/20269th80/10%11%+0.11