4

Hatalante De Flo

9yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

50%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Craon 08/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 08/09C?C0 @ Lisieux 24/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 06/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 06/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 16/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 028/12C?C0 @ Caen 16/03/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 12/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 012/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 05/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 028/07C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Cabourg?4th4th0
2026-07-13Le Mans?0
2026-05-05Vincennes?7th7th0
2026-04-12Graignes?7th7th0
2026-03-16Caen?14th14th0
2025-12-28Vincennes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0916/1112/0428/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
24/09/20254th5/174%80%+0.06
06/11/20252nd9/276%92%+0.16
16/11/20254th20/10%77%+0.77
28/12/20255th12/137%71%+0.35
16/03/202614th100/10%19%+0.19
12/04/20267th40/10%50%+0.50
05/05/20267th20/10%45%+0.45
28/07/20264th12/137%80%+0.43