10
Hega Des Landiers
9yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#7
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 7 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Argentan | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 10/07/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/08/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 09/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |