6

Helia Dairpet

9yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y

#9

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 10/07/2023 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 12110/07C?C0 @ Laval 15/02/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Amiens 22/02/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 022/02C?C0 @ Caen 26/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 143C0 @ Reims 24/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 14324/04C?C0 @ Cholet 13/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 141C0 @ Chartres 01/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 1411/06C?C0 @ Laval 06/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1416 @ Pornichet 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 1412/076projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Pornichet68th8th0
2025-07-06Laval?4th4th0
2025-06-01Chartres?1st1st0
2025-05-13Cholet?3rd3rd0
2025-04-24Reims?1st1st0
2025-03-26Caen?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0726/031/062/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20235th8/158%67%+0.09
15/02/202510th80/10%36%+0.36
22/02/20257th20/10%50%+0.50
26/03/20254th22/10%75%+0.75
24/04/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
13/05/20253rd22/10%88%+0.88
01/06/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
06/07/20254th4/179%63%-0.16
02/07/20268th40/10%13%+0.13