12

Isa Du Pressoir

8yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y

#12

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 20/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 020/03C?C0 @ Argentan 14/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Angers 10/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 010/06C?C0 @ Chartres 12/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 06 @ Lisieux 14/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 014/036C0 @ Angers 01/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 028/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 06 @ Mauquenchy 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04/066projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-04Mauquenchy64th4th0
2026-05-12Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-04-28Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-04-01Angers?4th4th0
2026-03-14Lisieux69th9th0
2025-09-12Chartres?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0312/0928/044/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength1%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/03/20252nd5/174%93%+0.20
14/04/20252nd17/255%93%+0.38
10/06/20252nd7/491%90%-0.01
12/09/20254th7/282%80%-0.02
14/03/20269th80/10%47%+0.47
01/04/20264th9/276%80%+0.04
28/04/20265th12/137%67%+0.30
12/05/20263rd9/276%82%+0.06
04/06/20264th15/890%79%-0.12