5

Jacadi D'argilin

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 07/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 07/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Caen 26/03/2025 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 026/03C?C0 @ Craon 07/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 08/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1438/12C?C0 @ Cabourg 22/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 132C0 @ Graignes 02/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 02/02C?C0 @ Caen 05/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 1436 @ Caen 19/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14319/036projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-19Caen62nd2nd0
2026-03-05Caen?2nd2nd0
2026-02-02Graignes?7th7th0
2025-12-22Cabourg?5th5th0
2025-12-08Cabourg?7th7th0
2025-09-07Craon?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/107/092/0219/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20249th66/10%33%+0.33
04/12/20248th40/10%53%+0.53
26/03/202515th50/10%18%+0.18
07/09/20255th18/15%73%+0.68
08/12/20257th50/10%45%+0.45
22/12/20255th16/116%69%+0.53
02/02/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
05/03/20262nd28/10%93%+0.93
19/03/20262nd4/179%90%+0.11