IvyArcIvyArc
11

Jadeska

7yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y

#13

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 18/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 018/11C?18 @ Vincennes 09/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04 @ Angers 15/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 015/01418 @ Vincennes 05/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 06 @ Amiens 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 021/0267 @ Toulouse 26/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 09/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 09/06C?6 @ Vichy 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 027/06C?projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Pornichet?0
2026-06-27Enghien?6th6th0
2026-06-13Vichy66th6th0
2026-06-09Vincennes?9th9th0
2026-05-17Beaumont-De-Lomagne?0
2026-03-26Toulouse710th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/115/029/0627/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength51%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/11/20254th9/153%80%+0.27
09/01/20265th22/10%73%+0.73
15/01/20267th33/10%54%+0.54
05/02/20268th33/10%50%+0.50
21/02/20263rd22/10%83%+0.83
26/03/202610th25/10%40%+0.40
09/06/20269th33/10%43%+0.43
13/06/20266th50/10%44%+0.44
27/06/20266th50/10%55%+0.55