1
Jalmarosa
7yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Pornichet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Amiens | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Pontchateau | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 18/07/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/07/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 04/10/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |