2

Jeune Orange Coton

7yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y

#3

Rank

Odds

45/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pontchateau 16/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 016/04C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 12/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 012/08C?C0 @ Cabourg 26/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Chartres 12/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 012/09C?C0 @ Reims 19/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 13/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 013/11C?5 @ Vincennes 19/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 02/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 02/03C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Caen60
2026-04-03Toulouse60
2026-03-21Vincennes40
2026-03-02Le Croise-Laroche?3rd3rd0
2026-02-19Vincennes52nd2nd0
2025-12-27Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0426/0813/112/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20256th6/168%64%-0.04
16/07/20256th8/158%44%-0.13
12/08/20256th20/10%58%+0.58
26/08/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
12/09/20253rd1/195%82%-0.13
19/10/20252nd11/486%92%+0.06
13/11/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
19/02/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
02/03/20263rd5/287%83%-0.04