2

Jeune Orange Coton
7yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#3
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-02 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Vincennes | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.04 |
| 16/07/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 12/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 82% | -0.13 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 02/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |