14
Joule De La Fye
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#10
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Caen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Nantes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-02 | Mauquenchy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Mauquenchy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 15/05/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 19/06/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 08/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 09/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 02/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |