8
Jurella De Palm
7yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Merville - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-18 | Vichy | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Toulouse | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 10/09/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 09/10/2024 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 47% | -0.40 |
| 11/07/2025 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 31/07/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |