12
La Fleche
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'etouvy - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#12
Rank
Odds
75/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Lisieux | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Graignes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.44 |
| 23/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 02/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 19/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |