1

Lady Channel

5yo Filly · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix D'etouvy - Attele · 1m 2f 41y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Graignes 30/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/05C?C0 @ Caen 10/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 23/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 023/07C?C0 @ Caen 26/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 04/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 04/07C?C0 @ Vire 01/09/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05 @ Cabourg 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 03/0756 @ Cabourg 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 05 @ Cabourg 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 021/085projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Cabourg53rd3rd0
2026-07-17Cabourg61st1st0
2026-07-03Cabourg52nd2nd0
2025-09-01Vire?14th14th0
2025-07-04Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2025-05-27Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0526/043/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20243rd7/491%83%-0.07
10/06/20242nd6/168%90%+0.22
23/07/20242nd3/184%91%+0.07
26/04/20252nd17/255%92%+0.37
04/07/20252nd10/382%88%+0.05
01/09/202514th8/158%13%-0.45
03/07/20262nd16/116%93%+0.78
17/07/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
21/08/20263rd11/271%83%+0.12