4
Liberty Herold
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'etouvy - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 11/07/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 77% | +0.22 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |