10
Lio De Piencourt
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'etouvy - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#13
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Enghien | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Reims | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 12/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |