14
Lutte Imperiale
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'etouvy - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vire | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.09 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 15/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |