5
Lya Du Vivier
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'etouvy - Attele · 1m 2f 41y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 12/08/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 09/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 87% | +0.02 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 4/7 | 97% | 22% | -0.75 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |