12
Nelson Melody
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Cabourg · Prix De Norrey - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-14 | Cherbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +49.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 46% | -0.09 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |