1
Nikita De Monchel
3yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Moult - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#11
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Amiens | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Reims | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Caen | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +30.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |