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13

Norma Castelle

3yo Filly · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Moult - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#13

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 05/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 05/03C?5 @ Amiens 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 011/0656 @ Lisieux 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 02/0765 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 016/075C0 @ Chateaubriant 07/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 07/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Chateaubriant?8th8th0
2026-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel55th5th0
2026-07-02Lisieux68th8th0
2026-06-11Amiens56th6th0
2026-03-18Vire?0
2026-03-05Caen?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0311/062/0716/077/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength76%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/03/20264th50/10%75%+0.75
11/06/20266th14/126%55%+0.28
02/07/20268th50/10%53%+0.53
16/07/20265th28/10%60%+0.60
07/08/20268th80/10%46%+0.46