14

Idaho A La Bruyere

8yo Gelding · 10-3

Cabourg · Prix De Crouay - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#14

Rank

Odds

55/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cordemais 17/01/2024 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 14317/01C?C0 @ Cherbourg 19/08/2024 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 019/08C?C0 @ Chartres 13/09/2024 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 013/09C?C0 @ Lisieux 17/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 017/08C?projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Lisieux?10th10th0
2026-03-12Caen50
2026-02-17Vincennes?0
2024-10-22Vincennes?0
2024-09-13Chartres?11th11th0
2024-08-19Cherbourg?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0119/0813/0917/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20247th20/10%40%+0.40
19/08/202410th40/10%10%+0.10
13/09/202411th50/10%23%+0.23
17/08/202610th50/10%18%+0.18