12

Ideal De Bannes

8yo Gelding · 10-3

Cabourg · Prix De Crouay - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#8

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 25/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 13925/06C?5 @ Saint Galmier 24/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 143C0 @ Lyon La Soie 18/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 018/02C?6 @ Saint Galmier 12/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 1304/05C?5 @ Vichy 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 130C0 @ Vichy 01/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 1361/07C?5 @ Cabourg 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1255 @ Vincennes 04/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1234/095projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Vincennes511th11th0
2026-08-21Cabourg56th6th0
2026-07-01Vichy?11th11th0
2026-06-18Vichy55th5th0
2026-05-04Vichy?4th4th0
2026-03-12Saint Galmier67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0612/031/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20257th15/261%33%-0.27
24/01/20267th16/116%57%+0.41
18/02/202610th50/10%18%+0.18
12/03/20267th100/10%54%+0.54
04/05/20264th8/158%75%+0.17
18/06/20265th28/10%64%+0.64
01/07/202611th40/10%33%+0.33
21/08/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
04/09/202611th50/10%9%+0.09