11

Jade Du Cedre

7yo Mare · 10-3

Cabourg · Prix De Crouay - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Angers 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 1431/10C?C0 @ Cabourg 08/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 143C0 @ Caen 02/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 1432/03C?5 @ Caen 12/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 143C0 @ Argentan 11/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14311/05C?C0 @ Caen 27/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 143C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 14330/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 143C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14328/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Meslay Du Maine?4th4th0
2026-07-07Cabourg?5th5th0
2026-06-30Le Mont-Saint-Michel?7th7th0
2026-05-27Caen?7th7th0
2026-05-11Argentan?8th8th0
2026-04-30Saint Brieuc50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1012/0330/0628/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/10/20253rd17/255%82%+0.27
08/12/20252nd11/271%91%+0.20
02/03/20267th6/492%50%-0.42
12/03/20264th9/153%63%+0.10
11/05/20268th8/158%36%-0.22
27/05/20267th22/10%60%+0.60
30/06/20267th9/153%45%-0.07
07/07/20265th8/158%60%+0.02
28/07/20264th14/126%50%+0.24