3

Jaguar Piya

7yo Gelding · 10-3

Cabourg · Prix De Crouay - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#4

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 14/03/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12514/03C?C0 @ Saint Brieuc 26/03/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m7f144y Std 125C0 @ Argentan 15/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 12515/04C?C0 @ Laval 05/06/2024 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Toulouse 28/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 14328/10C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 19/11/2024 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 143C0 @ Nantes 02/06/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 02/06C?C0 @ Caen 19/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 143C0 @ Cabourg 01/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1431/07C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Lisieux?0
2026-06-18Caen70
2025-07-01Cabourg?5th5th0
2025-06-19Caen?9th9th0
2025-06-02Nantes?11th11th0
2024-11-19Saint Galmier?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/035/062/061/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/03/20241st8/158%100%+0.42
26/03/20241st9/488%100%+0.12
15/04/20242nd13/891%92%+0.00
05/06/20249th66/10%43%+0.43
28/10/20241st1/195%100%+0.05
19/11/20245th1/195%75%-0.20
02/06/202511th80/10%0%0.00
19/06/20259th9/488%20%-0.68
01/07/20255th11/271%56%-0.15