13
Jazerane
7yo Mare · 10-3
Cabourg · Prix De Crouay - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Caen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Argentan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 15/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.10 |
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/03/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |