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6

Madiba De Bellande

4yo Colt · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Valseme - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 16/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 016/11C?C0 @ Chartres 26/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 026/11C?C0 @ Chartres 28/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 028/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 07/08C?5 @ Cabourg 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 028/085projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Cabourg53rd3rd0
2026-08-07Cabourg?5th5th0
2026-06-28Chartres?8th8th0
2024-12-27Vincennes?0
2024-12-13Graignes?0
2024-11-26Chartres?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1126/1128/067/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength87%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20244th16/116%75%+0.59
26/11/20246th33/10%55%+0.55
28/06/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
07/08/20265th28/10%56%+0.56
28/08/20263rd11/142%86%+0.44