12
Match Love
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Valseme - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chartres | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +8.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 20/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 27/05/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |