9

Matrix Sautreuil

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Valseme - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 24/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 024/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 09/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 05 @ Vincennes 06/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 06/0155 @ Vincennes 29/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 16/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 016/03C?C0 @ Reims 15/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 05 @ Caen 18/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 018/065C0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 139C0 @ La Capelle 30/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/07C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30La Capelle?9th9th0
2026-07-07Cabourg?8th8th0
2026-06-18Caen58th8th0
2026-04-15Reims?12th12th0
2026-03-16Mauquenchy?6th6th0
2026-02-13Vincennes50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1129/0118/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/11/20257th22/10%33%+0.33
09/12/20257th40/10%50%+0.50
06/01/20265th33/10%56%+0.56
29/01/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
16/03/20266th20/10%55%+0.55
15/04/202612th40/10%8%+0.08
18/06/20268th33/10%36%+0.36
07/07/20268th40/10%36%+0.36
30/07/20269th28/10%38%+0.38