1

Melo Du Locheur

4yo Colt · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Valseme - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ La Capelle 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/0566 @ Nancy 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 026/0665 @ Pornichet 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 027/085projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Pornichet56th6th0
2026-06-26Nancy64th4th0
2026-05-08La Capelle65th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0526/0627/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -44.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20265th33/10%69%+0.69
26/06/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
27/08/20266th7/163%44%-0.19