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10

Monte Carlo

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Valseme - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 26/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 026/05C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 016/07C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 08/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 08/08C?C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 02/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/02C?5 @ Nantes 21/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 021/025projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-27Cholet?0
2026-02-21Nantes58th8th0
2026-02-02Maure De Bretagne?6th6th0
2025-08-08Chateaubriant?3rd3rd0
2025-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel?6th6th0
2025-05-26Vichy?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0516/078/082/0221/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength57%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20255th18/15%67%+0.61
16/07/20256th14/126%55%+0.28
08/08/20253rd22/10%85%+0.85
02/02/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
21/02/20268th66/10%46%+0.46