13
Mystere Des Arris
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Valseme - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-07 | Lisieux | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |
| 23/11/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 16/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |